2026 NFL · Usage report

Week 9 risers and fallers

Every player whose role changed the most in week 9, measured against his own average from weeks 1–8. Role changes show up in snap and target share a week or two before they show up in fantasy points.

Week 9 risers

Player	Snap %	Change	Usage	Change	Tgt / Car
Devin Singletary RB · NYG	93%	+60	41.4% opp	+30.4	3 / 21
Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI	96%	+44	42.6% opp	+24.6	3 / 17
Van Jefferson WR · WAS	58%	+46	20.6% tgt	+16.9	7 / 0
Omar Cooper Jr. WR · NYJ	86%	+35	36.7% tgt	+21.4	11 / 0
Jonah Coleman RB · DEN	77%	+37	34.4% opp	+15.6	4 / 17
Tank Dell WR · HOU	47%	+24	24.3% tgt	+20.8	9 / 0
Myles Price WR · MIN	60%	+45	13.3% tgt	+9.7	4 / 0
Darius Cooper WR · PHI	93%	+32	24.2% tgt	+14.6	8 / 0
Tez Johnson WR · TB	79%	+40	16.7% tgt	+9.3	5 / 0
Dylan Sampson RB · CLE	64%	+30	22.2% opp	+12.1	6 / 8
Devin Duvernay WR · ARI	45%	+40	6.9% tgt	+6.3	2 / 0
Kaleb Johnson RB · GB	39%	+20	23.7% opp	+14.2	0 / 14

Week 9 fallers

Large drops for regular starters are flagged, since they usually mean an in-game injury rather than a lost role.

Player	Snap %	Change	Usage	Change	Tgt / Car
Josh Jacobs RB · GB injury?	15%	-46	6.8% opp	-28.7	0 / 4
Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN injury?	19%	-44	2.9% tgt	-20.1	1 / 0
Ted Hurst III WR · TB injury?	1%	-58	3.3% tgt	-12.3	1 / 0
Aaron Jones RB · MIN	35%	-27	14.3% opp	-19.8	1 / 5
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR · MIA	19%	-22	0.0% tgt	-14.0	0 / 1
Jared Wayne WR · MIA	11%	-33	0.0% tgt	-8.2	0 / 0
Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX	36%	-19	21.4% opp	-10.7	0 / 12
Jake Ferguson TE · DAL	34%	-33	5.9% tgt	-3.4	2 / 0
Braelon Allen RB · NYJ	59%	-10	18.2% opp	-14.6	2 / 8
Ben Yurosek TE · MIN	21%	-28	0.0% tgt	-5.3	0 / 0
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE	34%	-22	25.4% opp	-6.2	1 / 15
Mitchell Tinsley WR · CIN	19%	-24	3.6% tgt	-4.8	1 / 0

Who to watch

Not fantasy starters yet, but their role is growing before the points show up: rising snap or target share, usage worth more than they've scored, injured teammates or an easy schedule ahead. Each has at least two of these signs. These are your pickup and stash candidates.

Ollie Gordon II RB · MIA

Watch

10.4 proj this weekceiling 20.9RB22 this week · usually RB26

His opportunity share is up 10.6 points over the last two games, to 39.1%
On the field for 16 more snap-share points than earlier in the season
Usage worth 13.5 points a game, but he's scored 11.4. Due for better luck

Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ

Watch

8.0 proj this weekceiling 18.1WR40 this week · usually WR47

His target share is up 7.3 points over the last two games, to 26.1%
On the field for 10 more snap-share points than earlier in the season
Usage worth 13.7 points a game, but he's scored 9.7. Due for better luck

Tory Horton WR · SEA

Watch

4.2 proj this weekceiling 13.2WR70 this week · usually WR99

His target share is up 7.6 points over the last two games, to 14.2%
Opportunity: his starting QB Sam Darnold is out
On the field for 32 more snap-share points than earlier in the season

Woody Marks RB · HOU

Watch

10.2 proj this weekceiling 20.6RB24 this week · usually RB40

His opportunity share is up 14.6 points over the last two games, to 35.8%
On the field for 20 more snap-share points than earlier in the season
Usage worth 11.2 points a game, but he's scored 8.9. Due for better luck

Mike Washington Jr. RB · LV

Watch

4.9 proj this weekceiling 14.9RB41 this week · usually RB74

His opportunity share is up 17.5 points over the last two games, to 28.0%
On the field for 26 more snap-share points than earlier in the season
Usage worth 6.9 points a game, but he's scored 4.2. Due for better luck

Denzel Boston WR · CLE

Watch

9.7 proj this weekceiling 22.1WR24 this week · usually WR33

His target share is up 5.7 points over the last two games, to 25.8%
His targets and carries are already worth 12.4 points a game, starter-level usage
The 5th-easiest schedule for WRs over the next four weeks

Treylon Burks WR · WAS

Watch

6.3 proj this weekceiling 15.9WR53 this week · usually WR70

His target share is up 7.9 points over the last two games, to 17.8%
On the field for 12 more snap-share points than earlier in the season
The 6th-easiest schedule for WRs over the next four weeks

Antonio Williams WR · WAS

Watch

7.4 proj this weekceiling 17.9WR46 this week · usually WR74

His target share is up 8.0 points over the last two games, to 21.8%
On the field for 28 more snap-share points than earlier in the season
The 6th-easiest schedule for WRs over the next four weeks

Week 10 start/sit

Calls for players outside the obvious every-week starters, each backed by at least two reasons: projection, matchup, Vegas, usage trend, luck, injuries and weather. See how our calls have done →

QB

Start

Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX @ TEN

Lean start

19.0 proj7.7–29.3 range20% boomQB7 this week · usually QB11

TEN allows the 8th-most points to QBs (+12% vs average)
Vegas expects JAX to score 28.5 points, 3rd-most this week

Sit

Kirk Cousins QB · LV vs SEA

Strong sit

12.8 proj4.5–22.4 range6% boomQB20 this week · usually QB8

Projected for 12.8 points, 6.3 below his season average
SEA allows the 2nd-fewest points to QBs (-36% vs average)
Vegas expects only 17.0 points from LV, 3rd-fewest this week

Jordan Love QB · GB vs MIN

Confident sit

15.2 proj5.8–26.5 range12% boomQB13 this week · usually QB4

Projected for 15.2 points, 5.4 below his season average
MIN allows the fewest points to QBs (-49% vs average)

C.J. Stroud QB · HOU @ CLE

Lean sit

15.1 proj5.2–26.6 range12% boomQB14 this week · usually QB5

Projected for 15.1 points, 5.4 below his season average
CLE allows the 8th-fewest points to QBs (-14% vs average)

RB

Start

Devin Singletary RB · NYG vs WAS

Confident start

10.5 proj2.9–19.5 range10% boomRB21 this week · usually RB46

Projected for 10.5 points, 2.6 above his season average
His opportunity share is up 17.0 points over the last two games (27.2%)
Playing 27 more snap-share points than earlier in the season

Chase Brown RB · CIN vs PIT

Lean start

13.6 proj6.1–27.0 range34% boomRB12 this week · usually RB20

Vegas expects CIN to score 26.5 points, 5th-most this week
Unlucky so far: his targets and carries are worth 16.0 points a game, but he's scored 13.2. That gap usually closes
34% chance of a big game (ceiling 27.0)

Alvin Kamara RB · NO vs CAR

Lean start

10.2 proj2.3–20.6 range12% boomRB23 this week · usually RB30

CAR allows the 2nd-most points to RBs (+27% vs average)
Playing 22 more snap-share points than earlier in the season

Sit

No regular starters with a strong case to sit.

WR

Start

Jameson Williams WR · DET vs NE

Lean start

12.6 proj3.4–24.7 range23% boomWR14 this week · usually WR24

NE allows the 2nd-most points to WRs (+21% vs average)
Vegas expects DET to score 27.0 points, 4th-most this week

Justin Jefferson WR · MIN @ GB

Confident start

12.3 proj4.0–23.8 range19% boomWR15 this week · usually WR21

GB allows the 6th-most points to WRs (+14% vs average)
His target share is up 8.0 points over the last two games (34.4%)
Opportunity: his starting QB Kyler Murray is doubtful

Sit

Jalen Coker WR · CAR @ NO

Lean sit

8.8 proj2.5–20.5 range13% boomWR32 this week · usually WR29

Projected for 8.8 points, 3.8 below his season average
His target share is down 9.1 points over the last two games (13.9%)

Working against it: Playing 17 more snap-share points than earlier in the season

TE

Start

AJ Barner TE · SEA @ LV

Lean start

9.0 proj1.5–18.3 range19% boomTE10 this week · usually TE30

LV allows the 5th-most points to TEs (+25% vs average)
Opportunity: his starting QB Sam Darnold is out

Sit

Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE vs HOU Q

Strong sit

8.5 proj2.5–20.7 range14% boomTE12 this week · usually TE9

Projected for 8.5 points, 2.9 below his season average
HOU allows the 4th-fewest points to TEs (-27% vs average)
Vegas expects only 18.0 points from CLE, 6th-fewest this week

How the calls are made

Projection and range: A model trained on 2018–2024 and tested on 2025 projects each player's median, floor and ceiling, plus his chance of a big game.
Matchup: Fantasy points the opponent allows to the position, compared with the league average.
Vegas: The team's implied point total from the betting line.
Usage trend: Change in snap share and target or opportunity share over the last two games.
Luck: Expected fantasy points from his targets and carries compared with what he's scored. Big gaps tend to close.
Injuries and weather: Teammates ruled out, his own status, and wind or snow at kickoff.

Starters are based on a 12-team PPR league: top 12 QBs, 24 RBs, 30 WRs and 12 TEs.