2026-27 NHL · Next 3 days
Projected starting goalies
Who's likely in net for every game over the next three days, from how each team has used its goalies lately, back-to-backs and the injury report. Teams confirm starters the morning of the game, so check before lock.
Wednesday, October 7
PIT
Arturs Silovs Toss-up · 50%
2 starts · 2 W · 0.886 SV%
Otherwise: Sergei Murashov (50%)
@
WSH home
Logan Thompson Likely · 77%
1 starts · 1 W · 0.939 SV%
Otherwise: Charlie Lindgren (16%)
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood Lean · 62%
2 starts · 2 W · 0.912 SV%
Otherwise: Scott Wedgewood (38%)
@
WPG home
Stuart Skinner Toss-up · 50%
2 starts · 1 W · 0.908 SV%
Otherwise: Clay Stevenson (50%)
EDM
Devon Levi Likely · 83%
2 starts · 2 W · 0.810 SV%
Otherwise: Tristan Jarry (17%)
@
ANA home
Lukas Dostal Likely · 72%
2 starts · 2 W · 0.918 SV%
Otherwise: Ville Husso (28%)
Thursday, October 8
PHI
Dan Vladar Toss-up · 50%
2 starts · 0 W · 0.863 SV%
Otherwise: Joseph Woll (50%)
@
OTT home
Linus Ullmark Toss-up · 50%
2 starts · 2 W · 0.949 SV%
Otherwise: Samuel Ersson (50%)
VAN
Kevin Lankinen Likely · 71%
3 starts · 1 W · 0.824 SV%
Otherwise: Leevi Merilainen (29%)
@
CAR home
Brandon Bussi Likely · 71%
3 starts · 1 W · 0.851 SV%
Otherwise: Pyotr Kochetkov (29%)
NSH
Juuse Saros Likely · 100%
3 starts · 1 W · 0.907 SV%
@
MTL home
Jakub Dobes Likely · 100%
3 starts · 1 W · 0.857 SV%
DAL
Jake Oettinger Lean · 67%
2 starts · 1 W · 0.943 SV%
Otherwise: Casey DeSmith (33%)
@
BUF home
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Toss-up · 50%
2 starts · 1 W · 0.784 SV%
Otherwise: Colten Ellis (50%)
UTA
Karel Vejmelka Likely · 79%
3 starts · 2 W · 0.913 SV%
Otherwise: Sebastian Cossa (21%)
@
BOS home
Jeremy Swayman Likely · 71%
3 starts · 2 W · 0.914 SV%
Otherwise: Michael DiPietro (29%)
MIN
Jesper Wallstedt Likely · 100%
3 starts · 2 W · 0.933 SV%
@
TBL home
Andrei Vasilevskiy Likely · 100%
3 starts · 2 W · 0.898 SV%
CHI
Spencer Knight Likely · 79%
3 starts · 1 W · 0.891 SV%
Otherwise: Arvid Soderblom (21%)
@
NYI home
Ilya Sorokin Toss-up · 50%
2 starts · 1 W · 0.968 SV%
Otherwise: Semyon Varlamov (50%)
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov Likely · 100%
3 starts · 2 W · 0.862 SV%
@
STL home
Joel Hofer Lean · 67%
2 starts · 1 W · 0.955 SV%
Otherwise: Jordan Binnington (33%)
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood Lean · 62%
2 starts · 2 W · 0.912 SV%
Otherwise: Scott Wedgewood (38%)
@
CGY home
Dustin Wolf Lean · 67%
2 starts · 0 W · 0.797 SV%
Otherwise: Devin Cooley (33%)
TOR
Anthony Stolarz Lean · 58%
2 starts · 2 W · 0.904 SV%
Otherwise: Sergei Bobrovsky (42%)
@
VGK home
Carter Hart Likely · 71%
3 starts · 2 W · 0.890 SV%
Otherwise: Adin Hill (29%)
Friday, October 9
PIT
Arturs Silovs Toss-up · 50%
2 starts · 2 W · 0.886 SV%
Otherwise: Sergei Murashov (50%)
@
CBJ home
Jet Greaves Likely · 84%
2 starts · 1 W · 0.877 SV%
Otherwise: Elvis Merzlikins (16%)
NYR
Igor Shesterkin Likely · 80%
4 starts · 3 W · 0.927 SV%
Otherwise: Dylan Garand (20%)
@
WSH home
Logan Thompson Likely · 77%
1 starts · 1 W · 0.939 SV%
Otherwise: Charlie Lindgren (16%)
SEA
Joey Daccord Likely · 79%
3 starts · 2 W · 0.911 SV%
Otherwise: Philipp Grubauer (21%)
@
DET home
John Gibson Likely · 100%
3 starts · 1 W · 0.903 SV%
ANA
Lukas Dostal Likely · 72%
2 starts · 2 W · 0.918 SV%
Otherwise: Ville Husso (28%)
@
WPG home
Stuart Skinner Toss-up · 50%
2 starts · 1 W · 0.908 SV%
Otherwise: Clay Stevenson (50%)
How starters are projected
- Usage
- Each goalie's share of his team's last 20 starts, with recent games counting more. Early in the season, last season's usage fills in.
- Back-to-backs
- When a team plays on consecutive nights and the usual starter played the first night, the backup is favored: last season the starter sat 89% of those second nights.
- Injuries
- Goalies ESPN lists as out are skipped.
- Accuracy
- Tested on 2,464 games from last season: the projected starter was right 64.7% of the time overall, and 77.1% when we call him "Likely" (70%+), which was about a third of games. The rest is why confirmed starters still matter.